By Jeremy Harness
UPI photo Stanford running back Christian McCaffrey jukes Iowa Hawkeyes defensive back Greg Mabin
102nd Rose Bowl Game presented by Northwestern Mutual
Iowa (No. 5 in the College Football Playoff (CFP) standings, No. 6 in the Associated Press poll and No. 7 in the USA Today Coaches poll) vs. Stanford (No. 6 in the CFP standings, No. 5 in the AP poll and No. 6 by the coaches)
HISTORY: This is the first-ever meeting between the two schools
WHERE: Rose Bowl Stadium, Pasadena, CA
WHEN: 2:10 p.m. PST
TV: ESPN
RADIO: KZSU 90.1 FM
STANFORD WILL WIN IF: The Cardinal get off to a fast start by quickly controlling the line of scrimmage. Stanford has struck first in several games throughout the year, and that has often set the tone for the rest of the contest. Iowa, meanwhile, has struggled to find its rhythm early in games, so Stanford can certainly use that, as well as its bowl-game experience, to its advantage. The Cardinal will be playing in its third Rose Bowl in four years, which includes a win in 2013, while the Hawkeyes will be in their first since 1991.
Stanford will be in great shape if they can catch Iowa in a mismatch, particularly in using all-purpose running back Christian McCaffrey. To regain control of the Pac-12 title game against USC, quarterback Kevin Hogan found McCaffrey in a one-on-one situation against Trojans inside linebacker Olajuwon Tucker, a mismatch that the Cardinal exploited to the tune of a 67-yard catch-and-run that set up a Cardinal touchdown.
In the passing game Austin Hooper and Devon Cajuste, who is listed as a wide receiver but is more of a tight end, have consistently made big catches to keep crucial drives going as well as put the ball into the end zone. They are both 6-foot-4 with very good hands and route-running abilities and, therefore, have also created matchup nightmares for opposing teams. Look for the Cardinal to look for them by using play-action to get them in one-on-one situations.
Like Stanford, Iowa sets things up by establishing the run, so the Cardinal defense will need to put a heavy emphasis on stopping the run and making the Hawkeyes one-dimensional.
IOWA WILL WIN IF: The Hawkeyes are able to keep the game close by the time the fourth quarter rolls around. To accomplish this, they must limit McCaffrey’s effectiveness. It will be wise for Iowa to shadow McCaffrey with a quick defensive back, preferably third-team All-Big 10 free safety Jordan Lomax, to avoid getting caught in a mismatch with a linebacker that could prove to be fatal in a game that is as evenly-matched as this one.
Stanford has had trouble with quick running backs this year, which USC used to gain control early in the second half of the Pac-12 championship, so Iowa get gain the momentum that it needs if Jordan Canzeri, who has 976 rushing yards and 12 touchdowns this season, can get going.
Iowa has a real deep threat in receiver Tevaun Smith, so if he can get behind the Stanford secondary, it will greatly benefit Iowa. Expect Stanford to cover Smith primarily with corner Ronnie Harris, but the fifth-year senior has been hampered by an ankle injury that forced him to sit out the second half against USC a month ago.
The Hawkeyes’ defense has excelled in the fourth quarter of games this season, yielding only 22.9 rushing yards per game in the final 15 minutes. In addition, Iowa’s rush defense has been stout throughout the season, allowing 114.9 yards and only 10 rushing touchdowns in 2015, which is 10th-best in the nation.
PREDICTION: Stanford wins, 24-17. The Cardinal simply have too much experience working in their favor, and their tight ends provide them with a favorable matchup that the Hawkeyes will have real problems competing with.








